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Straight Up | Jan Herman

Arts, Media & Culture News with 'tude

A 10-KILOTON THEORY

August 11, 2004 by cmackie

Is James Atlas really “an overwrought hysteric,” as I
called him yesterday, because of his hand-wringing essay, “The Fear This
Time,”
 about life in post-9/11 New York? Well, I still
think of him as an Upper West Side weenie.


But this morning New York Times op-ed columnist Nicholas Kristof writes that “a 10-kiloton nuclear weapon”
exploding in Times Square would “vaporize or destroy” Madison Square Garden, the Empire
state Building, Grand Central Terminal and Carnegie Hall, would “partly destroy” the United
Nations building and much of midtown Manhattan, and would kill about 500,000 people.


“Could this happen?” Kristof asks, and answers: “Unfortunately, it could — and many experts
believe that such an attack, somewhere, is likely.” He cites a “terrifying new book” — Harvard
professor Graham Allison’s “Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe”
— as the source of that Times Square scenario. He points out further that Allison “did not pluck it
from thin air” but rather from White House aides. Exactly one month after 9/11, they “told
President Bush that a C.I.A. source code-named Dragonfire had reported that Al Qaeda had
obtained a 10-kiloton nuclear weapon and smuggled it into New York City.”


The C.I.A. found the report plausible. … President Bush dispatched nuclear
experts to New York to search for the weapon and sent Dick Cheney and other officials out of
town to ensure the continuity of government in case a weapon exploded in Washington instead.
But to avoid panic, the White House told no one in New York City, not even Mayor Rudy
Giuliani.


It isn’t until the eighth paragraph, halfway through his column, that Kristof lets us know:
“Dragonfire’s report was wrong.” (The italics are mine.) Not that there haven’t been other
“similar reports” — as yet unconfirmed — that Al Qaeda has gotten hold of a nuclear weapon from
the former Soviet Union. So maybe when Atlas writes that “living in New York is like a terminal
disease” waiting for another disaster much worse than 9/11 to happen, he’s not just
an Upper West Side weenie echoing cocktail party chatter in purple prose.


If it’s any reassurance, Atlas should feel more secure knowing that God is looking after us —
at least according to Gary Walby. At a Bush rally in Florida yesterday, the Times reported, Walby “told
the president during a question-and-answer session that though he always voted Republican, ‘this
is the very first time I felt God was in the White House.'”

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Jan Herman

When not listening to Bach or Cuban jazz pianist Chucho Valdes, or dancing to salsa, I like to play jazz piano -- but only in the privacy of my own mind.
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