{"id":2234,"date":"2017-11-07T18:07:18","date_gmt":"2017-11-08T02:07:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/?p=2234"},"modified":"2017-11-07T18:07:18","modified_gmt":"2017-11-08T02:07:18","slug":"about-that-arts-council-england-economic-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/2017\/11\/about-that-arts-council-england-economic-report\/","title":{"rendered":"About that Arts Council England economic report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/abacus.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-2238\" src=\"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/abacus-300x214.jpg\" alt=\"now multiply by 2.77 precisely\" width=\"300\" height=\"214\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/abacus-300x214.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/abacus.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>I&#8217;ve been away from the blog for a while, but I just can&#8217;t keep myself away from economic impact studies of the arts. The latest is from Arts Council England &#8211; you can read the report <a href=\"http:\/\/www.artscouncil.org.uk\/economic-contribution\">here<\/a>. Three things:<\/p>\n<p>First, the goals of the study are not clear. Britain&#8217;s Office of National Statistics conducts an annual business survey from which estimates can be derived of Gross Value Added from different sectors, and these figures form the basis of the (2015) arts-sector estimates contained in this report. In other words, we can look up the size of the book publishing, or sound recording, or performing arts sectors already, without a new report being commissioned. Since these numbers on their own have <em>no<\/em> discernible policy implications, the point of the exercise is not evident.<\/p>\n<p>Second, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/2016\/11\/why-its-time-to-completely-totally-finally-give-up-on-economic-impact-studies-in-the-arts\/\">the heaps of ridicule<\/a> that have been levied on the tactic of using &#8220;multipliers&#8221; to gauge the &#8220;true&#8221; impact of the sector did not prevent the Arts Council from jumping in. So Gross Value Added is &#8220;multiplied&#8221; by a factor of 2.30, and employment is &#8220;multiplied&#8221; by an even bigger 2.77 (note the precision!) such that even though figures show 131,200 employed in arts and culture industry (for the sectors included in this report) the &#8220;aggregated employment impact&#8221; becomes 363,000. The report&#8217;s authors do not attempt to justify exactly what they are measuring, which is just as well. Note that if we did an economic impact study of each sector in the UK economy, and added up the numbers, we would find that employment in the UK is 2.77 times higher than employment in the UK. Yes, you read that correctly. This is simply an attempt to take a true figure and make it seem bigger, to inflate its importance. But not one decision-maker will take it seriously, and it deeply harms the parts of the report that might be credible.<\/p>\n<p>Third, in its executive summary, and press release, and the main body of the report, we have this (p. 29 of the main report): &#8220;Based on the data provided by Arts Council England on the public funding of NPO&#8217;s for our analysis in Section 7.4, Cebr [Center for Economics and Business Research] estimates that \u00a35 of tax is contributed by the arts and culture industry for every \u00a31 of public funding provided.&#8221; There are different ways to interpret this, but it seems to me that the report&#8217;s authors clearly want us to draw a <em>link<\/em> between the two figures. Granted, they are not saying explicitly that public funding is the direct cause of the tax revenue. But they are saying &#8230; what, then? It doesn&#8217;t tell us that the public funding of the arts is well-spent, or should be higher or lower, or anything really about evaluating public expenditure on the arts. Neither does the 5:1 ratio tell us much &#8211; if I thought of a primarily-private sector part of the economy that somehow received a very <em>small<\/em> public subsidy I might say it had a ratio of tax revenues to subsidy much higher than 5:1. Indeed, cutting the Arts Council budget would more than likely make that 5:1 ratio even higher &#8211; cutting its budget in half is unlikely to reduce tax receipts from the sector by as much as a half. So I&#8217;m left with the conclusion that the i<em>mpression<\/em> they want to leave with the reader is in fact that public expenditure on the arts is a &#8220;good investment&#8221;, generating more in tax revenue than the public subsidy that caused it. I&#8217;m open to other interpretations here.<\/p>\n<p>And so, as so often with such reports (in the US as well) I&#8217;m left wondering what the point is. The report has the appearance of something to do with arts policy, but there are no policy implications. It has the appearance of sophisticated economic analysis, but no report that ventures into multipliers and &#8220;aggregate impact&#8221; will be taken seriously as a piece of economic research. These reports are not produced cheaply, they represent significant expenditure by the Council. And for what?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve been away from the blog for a while, but I just can&#8217;t keep myself away from economic impact studies of the arts. The latest is from Arts Council England &#8211; you can read the report here. Three things: First, the goals of the study are not clear. Britain&#8217;s Office of National Statistics conducts an [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":2238,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-2234","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-issues","8":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/abacus.jpg","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p3dIW5-A2","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":1119,"url":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/2014\/03\/a-cautionary-note-on-the-social-and-economic-value-of-the-arts\/","url_meta":{"origin":2234,"position":0},"title":"A Cautionary Note on the Social and Economic Value of the Arts","author":"Michael Rushton","date":"March 14, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Arts Council England has released a new report on The Value of Arts and Culture to People and Society: An Evidence Review. What to make of it? From the foreword by the Chair of the Council, Sir Peter Bazalgette: Of course the inherent value of arts and culture is, in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;issues&quot;","block_context":{"text":"issues","link":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/category\/issues\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"think of the grandchildren","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/keynes4-300x290.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1838,"url":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/2015\/03\/on-the-return-to-public-investments-in-museums\/","url_meta":{"origin":2234,"position":1},"title":"On the return to public investments in museums","author":"Michael Rushton","date":"March 3, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Arts Council England has released a new report that seeks to quantify the 'economic impact' of museums. It estimates that to be\u00a0\u00a31.45 billion. That doesn't matter much - there are no insights to be gained, no policy implications, from the estimate's being \u00a31.45 billion or \u00a32.07 billion or \u00a31.03 billion.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;issues&quot;","block_context":{"text":"issues","link":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/category\/issues\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"maybe this time?","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/sisyphus.jpeg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":741,"url":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/2013\/04\/what-do-we-talk-about-when-we-talk-about-the-economic-impact-of-the-arts\/","url_meta":{"origin":2234,"position":2},"title":"What do we talk about when we talk about the economic impact of the arts?","author":"Michael Rushton","date":"April 30, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"In the news from Britain in the past week has been a speech by Culture Minister Maria Miller on the arts and the economy in the UK - the full text is here. Commentary has ranged from the concern about putting too much emphasis on the economic, to how we\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;issues&quot;","block_context":{"text":"issues","link":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/category\/issues\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"multiplier","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/yorkshire-300x225.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1861,"url":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/2015\/03\/does-cultures-share-of-gdp-matter\/","url_meta":{"origin":2234,"position":3},"title":"Does culture&#8217;s share of GDP matter?","author":"Michael Rushton","date":"March 17, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"I don't see how it does. Americans for the Arts sees it differently - writing about the recent Bureau of Economic Analysis accounts, they write: Much has been written about the truly mind-bending sum of $698.7 billion in industry expenditures\u2014a substantial contributor to the economy that supported 4.7 million jobs\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;issues&quot;","block_context":{"text":"issues","link":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/category\/issues\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"what's your share?","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/Art-works.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/Art-works.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/Art-works.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/Art-works.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1796,"url":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/2015\/01\/new-research-from-the-nea\/","url_meta":{"origin":2234,"position":4},"title":"New research from the NEA","author":"Michael Rushton","date":"January 13, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"New research on arts participation and economics has been released by the National Endowment for the Arts. I won't try to summarize everything there, just a few comments: Two of the reports are on participation: one asks about who participates in what, the other asks people about why they participated.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;issues&quot;","block_context":{"text":"issues","link":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/category\/issues\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"what are the data telling us?","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/whirlwind-computer.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1673,"url":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/2014\/11\/orchestras-and-cost-disease\/","url_meta":{"origin":2234,"position":5},"title":"Orchestras and cost disease (Updated)","author":"Michael Rushton","date":"November 4, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"At The Clyde Fitch Report Duncan Webb has an interesting piece that looks into the future, and he sees chronic cost disease: I first read Baumol and Bowen\u2019s The Economic Dilemma of the Performing Arts some 20\u00a0years ago, almost 30 years after it was first published in 1965. The theory\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;issues&quot;","block_context":{"text":"issues","link":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/category\/issues\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"It's not lupus","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/cost-disease.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2234","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2234"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2234\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2239,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2234\/revisions\/2239"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2238"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2234"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2234"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/worth\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2234"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}