{"id":1631,"date":"2008-03-22T13:58:00","date_gmt":"2008-03-22T20:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/wp\/2008\/03\/a_view_from_the_top\/"},"modified":"2008-03-22T13:58:00","modified_gmt":"2008-03-22T20:58:00","slug":"a_view_from_the_top","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/2008\/03\/a_view_from_the_top.html","title":{"rendered":"A View from the Top"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Things are going so well in Iraq that, as the headline says, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2008\/03\/22\/world\/middleeast\/22policy.html?_r=1&amp;ref=world&amp;oref=slogin\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">&#8220;Pentagon Urges Delay in U.S. Troop Reductions in Iraq.&#8221;<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a> Or as retired four-star <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cfr.org\/publication\/15723\/\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">Gen. Barry McCaffrey said<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a> the other day at the Council on Foreign Relations, &#8220;If you look at the totality of our experience in Iraq, it&#8217;s been a major disaster. There&#8217;s no two ways about it.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>(You&#8217;ve heard that before, of course. There&#8217;s also <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/washwire\/2008\/03\/19\/mccain-camp-again-links-al-qaeda-to-iran\/?mod=googlenews_wsj\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">McCain&#8217;s way<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a>  &#8212; a k a the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pbs.org\/wgbh\/pages\/frontline\/torture\/view\/\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">B<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.truthout.org\/docs_2006\/101606O.shtml\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#FF0000\">a<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#FF0000\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.pbs.org\/wgbh\/pages\/frontline\/torture\/view\/\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">n<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.truthout.org\/docs_2006\/101606O.shtml\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#FF0000\">a<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#FF0000\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.pbs.org\/wgbh\/pages\/frontline\/torture\/view\/\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">n<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.truthout.org\/docs_2006\/101606O.shtml\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#FF0000\">a<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#FF0000\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.pbs.org\/wgbh\/pages\/frontline\/torture\/view\/\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">R<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.truthout.org\/docs_2006\/101606O.shtml\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#FF0000\">e<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#FF0000\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.pbs.org\/wgbh\/pages\/frontline\/torture\/view\/\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">p<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.truthout.org\/docs_2006\/101606O.shtml\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#FF0000\">u<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#FF0000\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.pbs.org\/wgbh\/pages\/frontline\/torture\/view\/\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">b<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.truthout.org\/docs_2006\/101606O.shtml\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#FF0000\">l<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#FF0000\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.pbs.org\/wgbh\/pages\/frontline\/torture\/view\/\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">i<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.truthout.org\/docs_2006\/101606O.shtml\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#FF0000\">c<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#FF0000\"><\/font><\/a>an way.)\u00a0\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Here&#8217;s something else McCaffrey said that I&#8217;m sure you&#8217;ve heard: Things are going so well that &#8220;the Maliki government right now&#8221; is &#8220;largely dysfunctional. To wit &#8212; if you went to any one of Iraq&#8217;s provinces and asked, &#8216;Is there a federal government that is dominant in electrical energy, the oil business, health, education, security?&#8217; The answer would be, &#8216;No.'&#8221; But this, he added, is &#8220;not to imply the country is in chaos.&#8221; After all, things are going <i>so well<\/i>.<br \/>\n&#8220;The change in Iraq is like night and day,&#8221; McCaffrey said. &#8220;The violence is down enormously. It&#8217;s gone from bordering on the edge of all-out civil war to completely different circumstances.&#8221; How different? Well, there are six million people in Baghdad, &#8220;all of them armed.&#8221;<br \/>\nHere&#8217;s another way to say how swell it&#8217;s going: <\/div>\n<p><!--more--><br \/>\nThere&#8217;s &#8220;still massive unemployment. Our allies are leaving.&#8221; And &#8220;there is a complete lack of political domestic support to continue the war.&#8221; (I think he meant political support in the U.S., minus McCain and Joe Lieberman et al.)<br \/>\nSo Jane Arraf, the former CNN Baghdad Bureau Chief, asked, &#8220;What do you think Iraq is going to look like in five years?&#8217;<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.mccaffreyassociates.com\/pages\/bio.htm\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" title=\"Gen. Barry McCaffrey [Photo: McCaffrey Associates]\" src=\"http:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/mccaffrey%20180.jpg\" width=\"179\" align=\"left\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a>&#8220;I don&#8217;t know,&#8221; McCaffrey said. &#8220;I think it&#8217;s hard to imagine that anyone thinks an all-out civil war to settle the political struggle is a good outcome. I think there&#8217;s a fear on the part of the Iraqi leadership that all-out civil war will be a blood bath that&#8217;ll yield Pol Pot&#8217;s Cambodia.&#8221; That&#8217;s how really well things are going.<br \/>\n&#8220;The problem,&#8221; he added, is whether &#8220;the Constitution we issued them [is] appropriate for that people and this time. I think there&#8217;s a good argument that it isn&#8217;t. So I&#8217;d be unsurprised if two years from now there isn&#8217;t some hotshot two-star general as head of government in Iraq, and I&#8217;m not so sure that wouldn&#8217;t serve the interests of the Iraqi people and their neighbors as well as some of the alternatives.&#8221;<br \/>\nWhich is to say that things are going really <i>really<\/i> well.<br \/>\nConsider this: &#8220;The Sunnis figured out that we&#8217;re leaving &#8212; and by the way, we <i>are<\/i> leaving in the next 36 months,&#8221; he said. Many have become our paid allies for the moment. There are &#8220;80,000 primarily Sunni insurgents that we&#8217;re paying $300 a month to guard their own village[s], their own neighborhood[s], and that has defused an awful lot of the violent insurgency struggle that we are trying to dominate.&#8221; This comes to $24 million a month for <a href=\"http:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/archives\/2008\/02\/bribes_to_the_t.html\" class=\"inline\" target=\"new&quot;\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">bribes to the tribes<\/font><\/strong><font color=\"#003399\"><\/font><\/a>. Nearly $300 mil a year. Chickenfeed.<br \/>\nSome more good news: &#8220;Your Air Force &#8212; our principal fighter aircraft, probably a quarter of them are down now &#8212; F-15s &#8212; and will never fly again. And the tanker fleet is broken. If you want to have a global air force, there&#8217;s no sense in buying one unless you buy the tanker fleet to sustain it. Our airlift assets are being ground down by overuse and no resources. Our C-5A aircraft are busted. They&#8217;re over.&#8221; Also, &#8220;we now have 124,000 contractors in Iraq. They&#8217;re doing all our retail [and] wholesale logistics. Damn near. They&#8217;re doing all of our long-haul communications. &#8230; We&#8217;ve been forced to go to contractors to carry out absolutely what our military functions [are].&#8221;<br \/>\nBut here&#8217;s what McCaffrey called the truly &#8220;good news&#8221;: Not only has the current Secretary of Defense Bill Gates &#8220;restored sanity to the national security process,&#8221; but the U.S. commander in Iraq is a superhero straight out of the comics: &#8220;David Petraeus, personally, I think may be the most talented person I ever met in my life. &#8230; He looks like a movie star. He can jump over high hedges in a single bound. A doctorate from Princeton. He likes being in the public eye. And our U.S. Ambassador there, Ryan Crocker, is as good as he is.&#8221;<br \/>\nIf that&#8217;s not proof that things are going really, really, really well in Iraq, then McCaffrey is a monkey&#8217;s uncle. Meanwhile, the even better good news is that when you look at the worldwide terrorist picture, &#8220;the Saudi royal family is no longer funding Al Qaeda.&#8221;<br \/>\nWe do have a <i>leetle<\/i> problem, though. The threat from Al Qaeda &#8220;has morphed,&#8221; he said.  &#8220;If you asked me to identify the  capital of terrorism, I&#8217;d be more likely to say London than Damascus and more likely to say Paris and Hamburg than Teheran.&#8221; And he predicts, &#8220;in the first term of the next administration there will be an attack on the U.S.&#8221;<br \/>\nWhy so? Because it&#8217;s going so well.<br \/>\n<strong>Postscript:<\/strong> Something I forgot to mention was McCaffrey&#8217;s funniest remark: &#8220;We had too many people in high office who never got punched in the face.&#8221; He offered it as the reason for the &#8220;disastrous failure&#8221; of leadership by Donald Rumsfeld and his circle of advisors. <em>So many people in high office needing to get their faces punched, and so little time,<\/em> says a friend.<br \/>\n<strong>PPS:<\/strong> Nov. 30, 2008 &#8212; Essential reading: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2008\/11\/30\/washington\/30general.html?_r=1&#038;hp\"> &#8220;One Man&#8217;s Military-Industrial-Media Complex&#8221;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Things are going so well in Iraq that, as the headline says, &#8220;Pentagon Urges Delay in U.S. Troop Reductions in Iraq.&#8221; Or as retired four-star Gen. Barry McCaffrey said the other day at the Council on Foreign Relations, &#8220;If you look at the totality of our experience in Iraq, it&#8217;s been a major disaster. There&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-1631","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-uncategorized","7":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pbvgEs-qj","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1631","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1631"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1631\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artsjournal.com\/herman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}